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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DT·pick 203

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #203

Henry Slay

Drafted by ATL — GM Harold Richardson · West Virginia

1998

3
DTs drafted at #203 in NFL history
most recent: Darius Kilgo (DEN, 2015)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1997, the model gave a defensive tackle at #203 a 9.0% chance in 1998.

Defensive tackle at #203, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%16.7% 1998: 9.0%

Peak: 16.7% · 2027 model: 12.6%

Surrounding picks · 1998 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart