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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DT·pick 200

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #200

Orpheus Roye

Drafted by PIT — GM Tom Donahoe · Florida St.

1996

3
DTs drafted at #200 in NFL history
most recent: Jaden Crumedy (CAR, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1995, the model gave a defensive tackle at #200 a 7.2% chance in 1996.

Defensive tackle at #200, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%16.6% 1996: 7.2%

Peak: 16.6% · 2027 model: 12.5%

Surrounding picks · 1996 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart