DT · pick 197 — first ever defensive tackle at #197 (2011)

DT·pick 197

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #197

Ricky Elmore

Drafted by GB — GM Ted Thompson · Arizona

2011

DTs drafted at #197 in NFL history

most recent: Zion Logue (ATL, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2010, the model gave a defensive tackle at #197 a 6.6% chance in 2011.

Defensive tackle at #197, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 16.5% · 2027 model: 12.4%

Surrounding picks · 2011 draft

#192STMatthew BosherATL — GM Thomas Dimitroff
#193LBBrian RollePHI — GM Howie Roseman
#194LBMarkell CarterNE — GM Bill Belichick
#195LBJ.T. ThomasCHI — GM Jerry Angelo
#196OGKeith WilliamsPIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#198STyler SashNYG — GM Jerry Reese
#199DTJerrell PoweKC — GM Scott Pioli
#200LBRoss HomanMIN — GM Rick Spielman
#201OGStephen SchillingLAC — GM A.J. Smith
#202LBJacquian WilliamsNYG — GM Jerry Reese

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2024Zion LogueATL — GM Terry Fontenot · Georgia
2020John PenisiniDET — GM Bob Quinn · Utah

→ see this cell on the full chart