DT · pick 195 — first ever defensive tackle at #195 (2018)

DT·pick 195

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #195

Sebastian Joseph-Day

Drafted by LAR — GM Les Snead · Rutgers

2018

DTs drafted at #195 in NFL history

most recent: Roy Lopez (HOU, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2017, the model gave a defensive tackle at #195 a 8.0% chance in 2018.

Defensive tackle at #195, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 16.4% · 2027 model: 12.4%

Surrounding picks · 2018 draft

#190SDeShon ElliottBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#191WRDylan CantrellLAC — GM Tom Telesco
#192OTJamil DembyLAR — GM Les Snead
#193LBChris CovingtonDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#194WRRussell GageATL — GM Thomas Dimitroff
#196WRTremon SmithKC — GM Brett Veach
#197LBShaun Dion HamiltonWAS — GM Bruce Allen
#198DTKahlil McKenzieKC — GM Brett Veach
#199QBLuke FalkTEN — GM Jon Robinson
#200SFoyesade OluokunATL — GM Thomas Dimitroff

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2021Roy LopezHOU — GM Nick Caserio · Arizona

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