DT · pick 194 — first ever defensive tackle at #194 (1978)

DT·pick 194

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #194

Tom Randall

Drafted by DAL · Iowa State

1978

DTs drafted at #194 in NFL history

most recent: Keondre Coburn (KC, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1977, the model gave a defensive tackle at #194 a 6.5% chance in 1978.

Defensive tackle at #194, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 16.4% · 2027 model: 12.4%

Surrounding picks · 1978 draft

#189DEReggie DossLAR
#190WRHenry, LloydLloyd HenryMIA
#191RBJeff LoganIND
#192LBEarl InmonLV
#193OTBass, DannyDanny BassCIN
#195RBJohn Henry WhiteKC
#196LBMcGriff, JohnJohn McGriffTB

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 7 picks

2023Keondre CoburnKC — GM Brett Veach · Texas
2022Jordan JacksonNO — GM Mickey Loomis · Air Force
2020Khalil DavisTB — GM Jason Licht · Nebraska
2017Vincent TaylorMIA — GM Chris Grier · Oklahoma St.
2000Leif LarsenBUF — GM John Butler · Texas-El Paso
1992Jim GrayNE — GM Sam Jankovich · West Virginia
1985Dallas CameronDEN — GM John Beake · Miami (FL)

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