Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DT·pick 183

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #183

Mitch Willis

Drafted by LV — GM Al Davis · SMU

1984

4
DTs drafted at #183 in NFL history
most recent: Johnny Jolly (GB, 2006)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1983, the model gave a defensive tackle at #183 a 7.3% chance in 1984.

Defensive tackle at #183, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%16.0% 1984: 7.3%

Peak: 16.0% · 2027 model: 12.1%

Surrounding picks · 1984 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart