Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DT·pick 174

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #174

Marcus Spriggs

Drafted by CLE — GM Dwight Clark · Troy

1999

3
DTs drafted at #174 in NFL history
most recent: Larrell Murchison (TEN, 2020)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1998, the model gave a defensive tackle at #174 a 8.2% chance in 1999.

Defensive tackle at #174, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%15.7% 1999: 8.2%

Peak: 15.7% · 2027 model: 11.9%

Surrounding picks · 1999 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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