DT · pick 172 — first ever defensive tackle at #172 (2002)

DT·pick 172

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #172

Josh Shaw

Drafted by SF — GM Terry Donahue · Michigan St.

2002

DTs drafted at #172 in NFL history

most recent: Jimmy Staten (SEA, 2014)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2001, the model gave a defensive tackle at #172 a 9.5% chance in 2002.

Defensive tackle at #172, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 15.6% · 2027 model: 11.9%

Surrounding picks · 2002 draft

#167LBCourtland BullardLAR — GM Charley Armey
#168CBPete HunterDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#169TERyan HannamSEA — GM Mike Holmgren
#170WRSam SimmonsMIA — GM Rick Spielman
#171OTMatt HillSEA — GM Mike Holmgren
#173CBDemarcus FagginsHOU — GM Charley Casserly
#174TEKeith HeinrichCAR — GM Marty Hurney
#175CBChris CashDET — GM Matt Millen
#176CBKevin ThomasBUF — GM Tom Donahoe
#177LBNick RogersMIN — GM Mike Tice / Brzezinski

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2014Jimmy StatenSEA — GM John Schneider · Middle Tenn. St.

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