DT · pick 169 — first ever defensive tackle at #169 (1976)

DT·pick 169

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #169

Varner, StanStan Varner

Drafted by ATL · BYU

1976

DTs drafted at #169 in NFL history

most recent: Jesse Mahelona (TEN, 2006)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1975, the model gave a defensive tackle at #169 a 5.2% chance in 1976.

Defensive tackle at #169, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 15.5% · 2027 model: 11.8%

Surrounding picks · 1976 draft

#164DELeslie BensonBUF
#165OTJohnson, KirkKirk JohnsonPHI
#166SSteve TaylorKC
#167LBGregolunas, BobBob GregolunasKC
#168LBRobert PennywellSF
#170DEGreg BoydNE
#171WRScott PiperBUF
#172OTHarper, CalvinCalvin HarperKC
#173OTTodd SimonsenTEN
#174RBGary DavisMIA

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2006Jesse MahelonaTEN — GM Floyd Reese · Tennessee
1996Mike FoleyARI — GM Bob Ferguson · New Hampshire
1987Curt JarvisTB — GM Phil Krueger · Alabama

→ see this cell on the full chart