Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DT·pick 161

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #161

Jeff Marriott

Drafted by NE — GM Bill Belichick · Missouri

2000

2
DTs drafted at #161 in NFL history
most recent: Amon Gordon (CLE, 2004)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1999, the model gave a defensive tackle at #161 a 8.3% chance in 2000.

Defensive tackle at #161, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%15.3% 2000: 8.3%

Peak: 15.3% · 2027 model: 11.6%

Surrounding picks · 2000 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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