DT · pick 160 — first ever defensive tackle at #160 (1981)

DT·pick 160

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #160

Ron Simmons

Drafted by CLE — GM Art Modell/staff · Florida St.

1981

DTs drafted at #160 in NFL history

most recent: Otito Ogbonnia (LAC, 2022)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1980, the model gave a defensive tackle at #160 a 7.1% chance in 1981.

Defensive tackle at #160, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 15.3% · 2027 model: 11.6%

Surrounding picks · 1981 draft

#154CBFulton WalkerMIA — GM Don Shula
#156LBBryan HinklePIT — GM Dick Haley
#157OGRon WootenNE — GM Bucko Kilroy
#158DTWilliam DanielsLAR — GM Don Klosterman
#159CBBill KayTEN — GM Ladd Herzeg
#161WRRobert HoltBUF — GM Stew Barber
#162WRBobby DuckworthLAC — GM Steve Ortmayer
#163CBVince SkillingsDAL — GM Tex Schramm
#164DEHarry StanbackATL — GM Eddie LeBaron
#165RBEdward O'NealNYG — GM George Young

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2022Otito OgbonniaLAC — GM Tom Telesco · UCLA
2019Daylon MackBAL — GM Eric DeCosta · Texas A&M
1990Kent WellsWAS — GM Charley Casserly · Nebraska

→ see this cell on the full chart