DT · pick 16 — first ever defensive tackle at #16 (1983)

DT·pick 16

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #16

Mike Pitts

Drafted by ATL — GM Tom Braatz · Alabama

1983

DTs drafted at #16 in NFL history

most recent: Walter Nolen (ARI, 2025)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1982, the model gave a defensive tackle at #16 a 6.7% chance in 1983.

Defensive tackle at #16, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 22.3% · 2027 model: 14.9%

Surrounding picks · 1983 draft

#11CBTim LewisGB — GM Bart Starr
#12TETony HunterBUF — GM Stew Barber
#13RBJames JonesDET — GM Russ Thomas
#14QBJim KellyBUF — GM Stew Barber
#15QBTony EasonNE — GM Patrick Sullivan
#17SLeonard SmithARI — GM Bill Bidwill
#18WRWillie GaultCHI — GM Jerry Vainisi
#19SJoey BrownerMIN — GM Mike Lynn
#20RBGary AndersonLAC — GM Steve Ortmayer
#21DTGabe RiveraPIT — GM Dick Haley

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 6 picks

2025Walter NolenARI — GM Monti Ossenfort · Mississippi
2024Byron MurphySEA — GM John Schneider · Texas
2007Justin HarrellGB — GM Ted Thompson · Tennessee
2005Travis JohnsonHOU — GM Charley Casserly · Florida St.
1992Chester McGlocktonLV — GM Al Davis · Clemson
1984Pete KochCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Maryland

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