Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DT·pick 158

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #158

William Daniels

Drafted by LAR — GM Don Klosterman · Alabama St.

1981

7
DTs drafted at #158 in NFL history
most recent: Mohamed Kamara (MIA, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1980, the model gave a defensive tackle at #158 a 7.1% chance in 1981.

Defensive tackle at #158, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%15.3% 1981: 7.1%

Peak: 15.3% · 2027 model: 11.5%

Surrounding picks · 1981 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 6 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart