DT · pick 157 — first ever defensive tackle at #157 (2025)

DT·pick 157

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #157

Elijah Roberts

Drafted by TB — GM Jason Licht · SMU

2025

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2024, the model gave a defensive tackle at #157 a 10.0% chance in 2025.

Defensive tackle at #157, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 15.3% · 2027 model: 11.5%

Surrounding picks · 2025 draft

#151RBDJ GiddensIND — GM Chris Ballard
#152LBShemar JamesDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#153OGJalen RiversCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#154OGMarcus MbowNYG — GM Joe Schoen
#156LBJeffrey BassaKC — GM Brett Veach
#158WRKeAndre Lambert-SmithLAC — GM Joe Hortiz
#159DECollin OliverGB — GM Brian Gutekunst
#161LBSmael MondonPHI — GM Howie Roseman
#162LBFrancisco MauigoaNYJ — GM Darren Mougey
#163TEMitchell EvansCAR — GM Dan Morgan

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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