DT · pick 154 — first ever defensive tackle at #154 (2007)

DT·pick 154

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #154

Clifton Ryan

Drafted by LAR — GM Jay Zygmunt · Michigan St.

2007

DTs drafted at #154 in NFL history

most recent: Tyeler Davison (NO, 2015)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2006, the model gave a defensive tackle at #154 a 9.2% chance in 2007.

Defensive tackle at #154, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 15.4% · 2027 model: 11.4%

Surrounding picks · 2007 draft

#149OGUche NwaneriJAX — GM James Harris
#150SJosh GattisJAX — GM James Harris
#151QBJeff RoweCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#152DTAntonio JohnsonTEN — GM Mike Reinfeldt
#153TEKevin BossNYG — GM Jerry Reese
#155TEDante RosarioCAR — GM Marty Hurney
#156OGCameron StephensonPIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#157WRDavid ClowneyGB — GM Ted Thompson
#158LBJohnny BaldwinDET — GM Matt Millen
#159SC.J. GaddisPHI — GM Tom Heckert

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2015Tyeler DavisonNO — GM Mickey Loomis · Fresno St.

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