DT · pick 153 — first ever defensive tackle at #153 (1981)

DT·pick 153

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #153

Dock Luckie

Drafted by KC — GM Jim Schaaf · Florida

1981

DTs drafted at #153 in NFL history

most recent: Anthony Montgomery (WAS, 2006)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1980, the model gave a defensive tackle at #153 a 7.2% chance in 1981.

Defensive tackle at #153, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 15.4% · 2027 model: 11.4%

Surrounding picks · 1981 draft

#148LBLarry KubinWAS — GM Bobby Beathard
#149DTBubba GreenIND — GM Dick Szymanski
#150CBReuben HendersonCHI — GM Jim Finks
#151RBAlvin LewisDEN — GM Edgar Kaiser/staff
#152DEMack MooreMIA — GM Don Shula
#154CBFulton WalkerMIA — GM Don Shula
#156LBBryan HinklePIT — GM Dick Haley
#157OGRon WootenNE — GM Bucko Kilroy
#158DTWilliam DanielsLAR — GM Don Klosterman
#159CBBill KayTEN — GM Ladd Herzeg

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2006Anthony MontgomeryWAS — GM Vinny Cerrato · Minnesota
1999Roderick ColemanLV — GM Al Davis era · East Carolina
1992Stacey DillardNYG — GM George Young · Oklahoma

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