DT · pick 122 — first ever defensive tackle at #122 (2000)

DT·pick 122

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #122

Josh Williams

Drafted by IND — GM Bill Polian · Michigan

2000

DTs drafted at #122 in NFL history

most recent: Tyler Shelvin (CIN, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1999, the model gave a defensive tackle at #122 a 7.6% chance in 2000.

Defensive tackle at #122, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 15.6% · 2027 model: 11.0%

Surrounding picks · 2000 draft

#117RBDeon DyerMIA — GM Dave Wannstedt
#118STyrone CarterMIN — GM Frank Gilliam
#119LBIsaiah KacyvenskiSEA — GM Mike Holmgren
#120DEAlvin McKinleyCAR — GM Dom Anile
#121WRAvion BlackBUF — GM John Butler
#123OTJoey ChustzJAX — GM Tom Coughlin
#124SBobby MyersTEN — GM Floyd Reese
#125CBReggie AustinCHI — GM Mark Hatley
#126SGary BerryGB — GM Ron Wolf
#127OTGreg RandallNE — GM Bill Belichick

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2021Tyler ShelvinCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · LSU
2016Andrew BillingsCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Baylor

→ see this cell on the full chart