DT · pick 106 — first ever defensive tackle at #106 (2011)

DT·pick 106

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #106

Christian Ballard

Drafted by MIN — GM Rick Spielman · Iowa

2011

DTs drafted at #106 in NFL history

most recent: Jay Tufele (JAX, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2010, the model gave a defensive tackle at #106 a 7.3% chance in 2011.

Defensive tackle at #106, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 15.7% · 2027 model: 11.0%

Surrounding picks · 2011 draft

#101OGClint BolingCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#102TEJordan CameronCLE — GM Tom Heckert
#103DESam AchoARI — GM Rod Graves
#104TELuke StockerTB — GM Mark Dominik
#105RBRoy HeluWAS — GM Bruce Allen
#107WRKris DurhamSEA — GM John Schneider
#108SQuinton CarterDEN — GM John Elway
#109LBColin McCarthyTEN — GM Ruston Webster
#110OGDavid ArkinDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#111WRClyde GatesMIA — GM Jeff Ireland

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2021Jay TufeleJAX — GM Trent Baalke · USC

→ see this cell on the full chart