DT · pick 10 — first ever defensive tackle at #10 (1973)

DT·pick 10

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #10

Joe Ehrmann

Drafted by IND · Syracuse

1973

DTs drafted at #10 in NFL history

most recent: Tyson Alualu (JAX, 2010)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1972, the model gave a defensive tackle at #10 a 8.7% chance in 1973.

Defensive tackle at #10, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 21.9% · 2027 model: 12.0%

Surrounding picks · 1973 draft

#5DTDave ButzARI
#6TECharle YoungPHI
#7TEPaul SeymourBUF
#8DEWally ChambersCHI
#9RBOtis ArmstrongDEN
#11RBSam CunninghamNE
#12RBChuck ForemanMIN
#13SBurgess OwensNYJ
#14RBGeorge AmundsonTEN
#15WRIsaac CurtisCIN

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

2010Tyson AlualuJAX — GM Gene Smith · California
2007Amobi OkoyeHOU — GM Rick Smith · Louisville
1990Ray AgnewNE — GM Sam Jankovich · North Carolina St.
1975Jimmy WebbSF · Mississippi State
1974Bill SandiferSF · UCLA

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