DE · pick 84 — first ever defensive end at #84 (1983)

DE·pick 84

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #84

Charles Mann

Drafted by WAS — GM Bobby Beathard · Nevada

1983

DEs drafted at #84 in NFL history

most recent: Kareem Martin (ARI, 2014)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1982, the model gave a defensive end at #84 a 8.4% chance in 1983.

Defensive end at #84, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 13.1% · 2027 model: 9.4%

Surrounding picks · 1983 draft

#79LBTodd SeabaughPIT — GM Dick Haley
#80OTSteve MooreNE — GM Patrick Sullivan
#81CBJimmy TurnerCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#82LBTony CaldwellLV — GM Al Davis
#83CBSteve BrownTEN — GM Ladd Herzeg
#85WRPhil SmithIND — GM Ernie Accorsi
#86CBGreg HillTEN — GM Ladd Herzeg
#87STChuck NelsonLAR — GM Don Klosterman
#88TEMike McCloskeyTEN — GM Ladd Herzeg
#89RBMichael WilliamsPHI — GM Jim Murray

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2014Kareem MartinARI — GM Steve Keim · North Carolina
1988David GrantCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · West Virginia

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