DE · pick 83 — first ever defensive end at #83 (1979)

DE·pick 83

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #83

Ken Johnson

Drafted by BUF · Knoxville

1979

DEs drafted at #83 in NFL history

most recent: Derek Rivers (NE, 2017)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1978, the model gave a defensive end at #83 a 6.8% chance in 1979.

Defensive end at #83, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 13.2% · 2027 model: 9.5%

Surrounding picks · 1979 draft

#78DELewis, ReginaldReginald LewisTB
#79RBWilliam AndrewsATL
#80RBRick BernsTB
#81CMike WellmanLAR
#82QBJoe MontanaSF
#84DTJames WhiteCIN
#85LBFrank ManumaleugaKC
#86RBRussell DavisPIT
#87SJeff NixonBUF
#88TEUlysses NorrisDET

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 7 picks

2017Derek RiversNE — GM Bill Belichick · Youngstown St.
2007Charles JohnsonCAR — GM Marty Hurney · Georgia
2003Sam WilliamsLV — GM Al Davis era · Fresno St.
1999Tom BurkeARI — GM Bob Ferguson · Wisconsin
1998Greg SpiresNE — GM Bobby Grier · Florida St.
1988Robert GoffTB — GM Phil Krueger · Auburn
1982John CannonTB — GM Phil Krueger · William & Mary

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