Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DE·pick 78

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #78

Ben Williams

Drafted by BUF · Ole Miss

1976

5
DEs drafted at #78 in NFL history
most recent: Jordan Burch (ARI, 2025)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1975, the model gave a defensive end at #78 a 8.4% chance in 1976.

Defensive end at #78, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%13.6% 1976: 8.4%

Peak: 13.6% · 2027 model: 9.8%

Surrounding picks · 1976 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart