DE · pick 58 — first ever defensive end at #58 (1977)

DE·pick 58

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #58

Dennis Boyd

Drafted by SEA · Oregon State

1977

DEs drafted at #58 in NFL history

most recent: Markus Golden (ARI, 2015)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1976, the model gave a defensive end at #58 a 8.5% chance in 1977.

Defensive end at #58, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 15.7% · 2027 model: 11.2%

Surrounding picks · 1977 draft

#53DEMike OzdowskiIND
#54QBGlenn CaranoDAL
#55OGDennis SwilleyMIN
#56RBTed McKnightLV
#57DECharles HannahTB
#59RBCurtis BrownBUF
#60DTTom BeasleyPIT
#61TERobin EarlCHI
#62WRTony HillDAL
#63DTEdgar FieldsATL

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2015Markus GoldenARI — GM Steve Keim · Missouri
2007Ikaika Alama-FrancisDET — GM Matt Millen · Hawaii
1989Matt BrockGB — GM Tom Braatz · Oregon
1986Jim SkowCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Nebraska

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