DE · pick 57 — first ever defensive end at #57 (1972)

DE·pick 57

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #57

Tom Beckman

Drafted by ARI · Michigan

1972

DEs drafted at #57 in NFL history

most recent: Paul Kruger (BAL, 2009)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1971, the model gave a defensive end at #57 a 7.6% chance in 1972.

Defensive end at #57, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 15.8% · 2027 model: 11.3%

Surrounding picks · 1972 draft

#52WRCharles McKeeDAL
#53DESwendson, FredFred SwendsonBUF
#54DEJim LeClairCIN
#55DTJohn MendenhallNYG
#56RBLewis JolleyTEN
#58LBPhillips, BillBill PhillipsDEN
#59OTBart BuetowMIN
#60CBob KuzielNO
#61STBill McClardLAC
#62RBJohnny MussoCHI

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 7 picks

2009Paul KrugerBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome · Utah
2007Victor AbiamiriPHI — GM Tom Heckert · Notre Dame
2004Antwan OdomTEN — GM Floyd Reese · Alabama
2001Willie HowardMIN — GM Frank Gilliam · Stanford
1996Lance JohnstoneLV — GM Al Davis era · Temple
1981Frank WarrenNO — GM Ken Meyer/staff · Auburn
1977Charles HannahTB · Alabama

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