DE · pick 50 — first ever defensive end at #50 (1979)

DE·pick 50

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #50

Jesse Baker

Drafted by TEN · Jacksonville State

1979

DEs drafted at #50 in NFL history

most recent: Calais Campbell (ARI, 2008)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1978, the model gave a defensive end at #50 a 8.5% chance in 1979.

Defensive end at #50, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 16.4% · 2027 model: 11.6%

Surrounding picks · 1979 draft

#45LBJoe NormanSEA
#46LBCalvin FavronARI
#47OTSam ClaphanCLE
#48OGPetey PerotPHI
#49OGPat HowellATL
#51LBJim HaslettBUF
#52DTBob GolicNE
#53OTJeff ToewsMIA
#54RBEddie HillLAR
#55CBAaron MitchellDAL

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2008Calais CampbellARI — GM Rod Graves · Miami (FL)

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