Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DE·pick 5

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #5

Richard Harris

Drafted by PHI · Grambling

1971

8
DEs drafted at #5 in NFL history
most recent: Kayvon Thibodeaux (NYG, 2022)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1970, the model gave a defensive end at #5 a 8.7% chance in 1971.

Defensive end at #5, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%28.9% 1971: 8.7%

Peak: 28.9% · 2027 model: 9.7%

Surrounding picks · 1971 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 7 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart