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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DE·pick 49

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #49

Willie Fry

Drafted by PIT · Notre Dame

1978

2
DEs drafted at #49 in NFL history
most recent: Kenny Mixon (MIA, 1998)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1977, the model gave a defensive end at #49 a 8.3% chance in 1978.

Defensive end at #49, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%16.5% 1978: 8.3%

Peak: 16.5% · 2027 model: 11.7%

Surrounding picks · 1978 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

→ see this cell on the full chart