DE · pick 47 — first ever defensive end at #47 (1987)

DE·pick 47

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #47

Donald Evans

Drafted by LAR — GM John Shaw · Winston-Salem St.

1987

DEs drafted at #47 in NFL history

most recent: Marlon Davidson (ATL, 2020)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1986, the model gave a defensive end at #47 a 10.1% chance in 1987.

Defensive end at #47, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 16.6% · 2027 model: 11.7%

Surrounding picks · 1987 draft

#42LBAlex GordonNYJ — GM Jim Kensil
#43LBRick GrafMIA — GM Don Shula
#44LBRay BerryMIN — GM Mike Lynn
#45LBDavid WymanSEA — GM Mike McCormack
#46LBWalter JohnsonTEN — GM Ladd Herzeg
#48OTWally KleineWAS — GM Bobby Beathard
#49CBEric ThomasCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#50LBWinston MossTB — GM Phil Krueger
#51RBDon SmithTB — GM Phil Krueger
#52OTBruce WilkersonLV — GM Al Davis

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2020Marlon DavidsonATL — GM Thomas Dimitroff · Auburn
1992Shane CollinsWAS — GM Charley Casserly · Arizona St.
1990Dennis BrownSF — GM John McVay · Washington
1989Warren PowersDEN — GM John Beake · Maryland

→ see this cell on the full chart