DE · pick 46 — first ever defensive end at #46 (1981)

DE·pick 46

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #46

Curtis Green

Drafted by DET — GM Russ Thomas · Alabama St.

1981

DEs drafted at #46 in NFL history

most recent: Josh Paschal (DET, 2022)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1980, the model gave a defensive end at #46 a 9.7% chance in 1981.

Defensive end at #46, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 16.7% · 2027 model: 11.8%

Surrounding picks · 1981 draft

#41RBJoe DelaneyKC — GM Jim Schaaf
#42TEClay BrownDEN — GM Edgar Kaiser/staff
#43LBJim CollinsLAR — GM Don Klosterman
#44CBAnthony WashingtonPIT — GM Dick Haley
#45LBRobin SendleinMIN — GM Mike Lynn
#47RBTony CollinsNE — GM Bucko Kilroy
#48DEHowie LongLV — GM Al Davis
#49SChris WilliamsBUF — GM Stew Barber
#50WRByron FranklinBUF — GM Stew Barber
#51LBRickey JacksonNO — GM Ken Meyer/staff

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 9 picks

2022Josh PaschalDET — GM Brad Holmes · Kentucky
2018Breeland SpeaksKC — GM Brett Veach · Mississippi
2014Stephon TuittPIT — GM Kevin Colbert · Notre Dame
2009Connor BarwinHOU — GM Rick Smith · Cincinnati
2007LaMarr WoodleyPIT — GM Kevin Colbert · Michigan
2005Matt RothMIA — GM Randy Mueller · Iowa
2001Aaron SchobelBUF — GM Tom Donahoe · TCU
1996Israel IfeanyiSF — GM Carmen Policy · USC
1984Andre TownsendDEN — GM Edgar Kaiser/staff · Mississippi

→ see this cell on the full chart