Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DE·pick 44

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #44

Steve Thompson

Drafted by NYJ · Washington

1968

5
DEs drafted at #44 in NFL history
most recent: Derrick Moore (DET, 2026)

How rare was this draftigami?

No rarity score — the model compares each pick to its predictions for earlier seasons, and drafts from 1967–1969 sit before that runway is long enough.

Defensive end at #44, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%16.7%

Peak: 16.7% · 2027 model: 11.8%

Surrounding picks · 1968 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

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