Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DE·pick 4

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #4

Bruce Clark

Drafted by GB — GM Bart Starr · Penn St.

1980

8
DEs drafted at #4 in NFL history
most recent: Clelin Ferrell (LV, 2019)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1979, the model gave a defensive end at #4 a 16.9% chance in 1980.

Defensive end at #4, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%31.4% 1980: 16.9%

Peak: 31.4% · 2027 model: 11.8%

Surrounding picks · 1980 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 7 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart