DE · pick 39 — first ever defensive end at #39 (1986)

DE·pick 39

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #39

Larry Roberts

Drafted by SF — GM John McVay · Alabama

1986

DEs drafted at #39 in NFL history

most recent: Noah Spence (TB, 2016)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1985, the model gave a defensive end at #39 a 9.9% chance in 1986.

Defensive end at #39, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 16.7% · 2027 model: 11.7%

Surrounding picks · 1986 draft

#34WRErnest GivinsTEN — GM Ladd Herzeg
#35LBDino HackettKC — GM Jim Schaaf
#36DTGerald WilliamsPIT — GM Dick Haley
#37RBAnthony ToneyPHI — GM Harry Gamble
#38CBLewis BillupsCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#40LBKevin MurphyTB — GM Phil Krueger
#41RBKenneth DavisGB — GM Forrest Gregg
#42DTMike RuthNE — GM Patrick Sullivan
#43WRWebster SlaughterCLE — GM Ernie Accorsi
#44CBMark CollinsNYG — GM George Young

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2016Noah SpenceTB — GM Jason Licht · Eastern Kentucky
1997Jared TomichNO — GM Mike Ditka · Nebraska
1988Pierce HoltSF — GM John McVay · Angelo State (TX)

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