DE · pick 38 — first ever defensive end at #38 (1978)

DE·pick 38

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #38

Scott Hutchinson

Drafted by BUF · Florida

1978

DEs drafted at #38 in NFL history

most recent: Arnold Ebiketie (ATL, 2022)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1977, the model gave a defensive end at #38 a 8.3% chance in 1978.

Defensive end at #38, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 16.7% · 2027 model: 11.6%

Surrounding picks · 1978 draft

#33OTJames TaylorNO
#34LBMike HuntGB
#35CBRay GriffinCIN
#36LBKeith ButlerSEA
#37CBOdis McKinneyNYG
#39STJohnny EvansCLE
#40DEAl BakerDET
#41OTMilton HardawayLAC
#42LBJohn BarefieldARI
#43LBSteve StewartATL

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

2022Arnold EbiketieATL — GM Terry Fontenot · Penn St.
2020Yetur Gross-MatosCAR — GM Marty Hurney · Penn St.
2015Preston SmithWAS — GM Bruce Allen · Mississippi St.
1999Mike RuckerCAR — GM Dom Anile · Nebraska
1996Bryant MixTEN — GM Floyd Reese · Alcorn St.

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