DE · pick 33 — first ever defensive end at #33 (1975)

DE·pick 33

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #33

Fred Dean

Drafted by LAC · Louisiana Tech

1975

DEs drafted at #33 in NFL history

most recent: Logan Hall (TB, 2022)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1974, the model gave a defensive end at #33 a 9.1% chance in 1975.

Defensive end at #33, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 16.3% · 2027 model: 11.2%

Surrounding picks · 1975 draft

#28CBMonte JacksonLAR
#29LBRalph OrtegaATL
#30DTLouie KelcherLAC
#31DEMike HartenstineCHI
#32CLee GrossNO
#34TEStephens, ElmoreElmore StephensKC
#35LBGreg CollinsSF
#36WRFred SolomonMIA
#37RBAnthony DavisNYJ
#38DTDoug EnglishDET

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

2022Logan HallTB — GM Jason Licht · Houston
2016Kevin DoddTEN — GM Jon Robinson · Clemson
2000Darren HowardNO — GM Randy Mueller · Kansas St.
1996Tony BrackensJAX — GM Tom Coughlin · Texas
1988Danny StubbsSF — GM John McVay · Miami (FL)

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