DE · pick 30 — first ever defensive end at #30 (1986)

DE·pick 30

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #30

Markus Koch

Drafted by WAS — GM Bobby Beathard · Boise St.

1986

DEs drafted at #30 in NFL history

most recent: George Karlaftis III (KC, 2022)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1985, the model gave a defensive end at #30 a 10.3% chance in 1986.

Defensive end at #30, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 17.0% · 2027 model: 10.7%

Surrounding picks · 1986 draft

#25CBRod JonesTB — GM Phil Krueger
#26RBReggie DupardNE — GM Patrick Sullivan
#27RBNeal AndersonCHI — GM Jerry Vainisi
#28LBJackie WalkerTB — GM Phil Krueger
#29RBGarry JamesDET — GM Russ Thomas
#31RBDalton HilliardNO — GM Jim Finks
#32STJohn LeeARI — GM Bill Bidwill
#33RBDarryl ClackDAL — GM Tex Schramm
#34WRErnest GivinsTEN — GM Ladd Herzeg
#35LBDino HackettKC — GM Jim Schaaf

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2022George Karlaftis IIIKC — GM Brett Veach · Purdue
1999Patrick KerneyATL — GM Harold Richardson · Virginia

→ see this cell on the full chart