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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DE·pick 3

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #3

Claude Humphrey

Drafted by ATL · Tennessee State

1968

9
DEs drafted at #3 in NFL history
most recent: Abdul Carter (NYG, 2025)

How rare was this draftigami?

No rarity score — the model compares each pick to its predictions for earlier seasons, and drafts from 1967–1969 sit before that runway is long enough.

Defensive end at #3, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%35.0%

Peak: 35.0% · 2027 model: 14.5%

Surrounding picks · 1968 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 8 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart