Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DE·pick 28

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #28

Bill Staley

Drafted by CIN · Utah State

1968

10
DEs drafted at #28 in NFL history
most recent: Myles Murphy (CIN, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

No rarity score — the model compares each pick to its predictions for earlier seasons, and drafts from 1967–1969 sit before that runway is long enough.

Defensive end at #28, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%17.8%

Peak: 17.8% · 2027 model: 10.4%

Surrounding picks · 1968 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 9 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart