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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DE·pick 259

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #259

Elton Patterson

Drafted by CIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Central Florida

2003

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2002, the model gave a defensive end at #259 a 10.8% chance in 2003.

Defensive end at #259, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%28.9% 2003: 10.8%

Peak: 28.9% · 2027 model: 6.3%

Surrounding picks · 2003 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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