DE · pick 253 — first ever defensive end at #253 (2004)

DE·pick 253

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #253

Isaac Hilton

Drafted by NYG — GM Ernie Accorsi · Hampton

2004

DEs drafted at #253 in NFL history

most recent: Marquiss Spencer (DEN, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2003, the model gave a defensive end at #253 a 9.7% chance in 2004.

Defensive end at #253, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 27.0% · 2027 model: 6.3%

Surrounding picks · 2004 draft

#248QBB.J. SymonsHOU — GM Charley Casserly
#249DEBobby McCrayJAX — GM James Harris
#250QBBradlee Van PeltDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#251OGScott WellsGB — GM Mike Sherman
#252CBLenny WilliamsTB — GM Bruce Allen
#254OTCarlos JosephLAC — GM A.J. Smith
#255LBAndre SommersellLV — GM Al Davis era

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2021Marquiss SpencerDEN — GM George Paton · Mississippi St.
2019Jordan BrailfordWAS — GM Bruce Allen · Oklahoma St.
2010Erik LorigTB — GM Mark Dominik · Stanford
2006Dave TollefsonGB — GM Ted Thompson · NW Missouri St.

→ see this cell on the full chart