DE · pick 250 — first ever defensive end at #250 (2017)

DE·pick 250

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #250

Pat O'Connor

Drafted by DET — GM Bob Quinn · Eastern Michigan

2017

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2016, the model gave a defensive end at #250 a 7.2% chance in 2017.

Defensive end at #250, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 26.2% · 2027 model: 6.3%

Surrounding picks · 2017 draft

#245CBJack TochoMIN — GM Rick Spielman
#246DTJordan CarrellDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#247WRMalachi DupreGB — GM Ted Thompson
#248LBKeion AdamsPIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#249RBChris CarsonSEA — GM John Schneider
#251TEMason SchreckCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#252RBMatthew DayesCLE — GM Sashi Brown
#253QBChad KellyDEN — GM John Elway

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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