DE · pick 249 — first ever defensive end at #249 (2004)

DE·pick 249

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #249

Bobby McCray

Drafted by JAX — GM James Harris · Florida

2004

DEs drafted at #249 in NFL history

most recent: Moro Ojomo (PHI, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2003, the model gave a defensive end at #249 a 9.7% chance in 2004.

Defensive end at #249, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 26.0% · 2027 model: 6.3%

Surrounding picks · 2004 draft

#244WRDerek AbneyBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#245TECourtney AndersonLV — GM Al Davis era
#246OGBrian RimpfBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#247RBBrandon MireeDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#248QBB.J. SymonsHOU — GM Charley Casserly
#250QBBradlee Van PeltDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#251OGScott WellsGB — GM Mike Sherman
#252CBLenny WilliamsTB — GM Bruce Allen
#253DEIsaac HiltonNYG — GM Ernie Accorsi
#254OTCarlos JosephLAC — GM A.J. Smith

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2023Moro OjomoPHI — GM Howie Roseman · Texas
2019Michael DogbeARI — GM Steve Keim · Temple
2014Michael SamLAR — GM Les Snead · Missouri

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