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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DE·pick 244

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #244

Justin Lawler

Drafted by LAR — GM Les Snead · SMU

2018

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2017, the model gave a defensive end at #244 a 6.5% chance in 2018.

Defensive end at #244, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%24.8% 2018: 6.5%

Peak: 24.8% · 2027 model: 6.3%

Surrounding picks · 2018 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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