DE · pick 242 — first ever defensive end at #242 (2002)

DE·pick 242

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #242

Brett Keisel

Drafted by PIT — GM Kevin Colbert · BYU

2002

DEs drafted at #242 in NFL history

most recent: Jonathan Garvin (GB, 2020)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2001, the model gave a defensive end at #242 a 9.9% chance in 2002.

Defensive end at #242, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 24.4% · 2027 model: 6.3%

Surrounding picks · 2002 draft

#237RBAntwoine WomackNE — GM Bill Belichick
#238DERaheem BrockPHI — GM Andy Reid
#239OGEric HeitmannSF — GM Terry Donahue
#240DECarlos HallTEN — GM Floyd Reese
#241RBLeonard HenryMIA — GM Rick Spielman
#243RBChris MasseyLAR — GM Charley Armey
#244OTKevin ShafferATL — GM Harold Richardson
#245LBQuincy MonkNYG — GM Ernie Accorsi
#246CBSteve SmithJAX — GM Tom Coughlin
#247STHayden EpsteinJAX — GM Tom Coughlin

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2020Jonathan GarvinGB — GM Brian Gutekunst · Miami (FL)
2008Rob JacksonWAS — GM Vinny Cerrato · Kansas St.
2007Keyunta DawsonIND — GM Bill Polian · Texas Tech

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