Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DE·pick 240

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #240

Carlos Hall

Drafted by TEN — GM Floyd Reese · Arkansas

2002

2
DEs drafted at #240 in NFL history
most recent: Alex McCalister (PHI, 2016)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2001, the model gave a defensive end at #240 a 9.8% chance in 2002.

Defensive end at #240, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%24.0% 2002: 9.8%

Peak: 24.0% · 2027 model: 6.3%

Surrounding picks · 2002 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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