DE · pick 234 — first ever defensive end at #234 (1996)

DE·pick 234

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #234

Kerry Hicks

Drafted by CAR — GM Bill Polian · Colorado

1996

DEs drafted at #234 in NFL history

most recent: Patrick Johnson (PHI, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1995, the model gave a defensive end at #234 a 7.8% chance in 1996.

Defensive end at #234, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 22.9% · 2027 model: 6.3%

Surrounding picks · 1996 draft

#228WRGregory SpannJAX — GM Tom Coughlin
#229OTEthan BrooksATL — GM Harold Richardson
#230OGJeff BuckeyMIA — GM Jimmy Johnson
#231RBFreddie BradleyLAC — GM Bobby Beathard
#233DTMarcus KeyesCHI — GM Rod Graves
#235RBL.T. LevineDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#236STBrian GragertDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#237LBDan BrandenburgBUF — GM John Butler
#238QBJon StarkBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#239TESean ManuelSF — GM Carmen Policy

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 6 picks

2021Patrick JohnsonPHI — GM Howie Roseman · Tulane
2017Ejuan PriceLAR — GM Les Snead · Pittsburgh
2014Terrence FedeMIA — GM Dennis Hickey · Marist
2004Trevor JohnsonNYJ — GM Terry Bradway · Nebraska
2002Greg ScottWAS — GM Vinny Cerrato · Hampton
2001Joe TafoyaTB — GM Rich McKay · Arizona

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