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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DE·pick 233

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #233

Marvin Thomas

Drafted by CHI — GM Mark Hatley · Memphis

1997

6
DEs drafted at #233 in NFL history
most recent: Zach Durfee (JAX, 2026)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1996, the model gave a defensive end at #233 a 8.1% chance in 1997.

Defensive end at #233, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%22.7% 1997: 8.1%

Peak: 22.7% · 2027 model: 6.3%

Surrounding picks · 1997 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart