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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DE·pick 230

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #230

Vincent Amey

Drafted by LV — GM Al Davis era · Arizona St.

1998

4
DEs drafted at #230 in NFL history
most recent: Quinton Bell (LV, 2019)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1997, the model gave a defensive end at #230 a 8.6% chance in 1998.

Defensive end at #230, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%22.2% 1998: 8.6%

Peak: 22.2% · 2027 model: 6.3%

Surrounding picks · 1998 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

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