DE · pick 223 — first ever defensive end at #223 (2022)

DE·pick 223

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #223

Isaiah Thomas

Drafted by CLE — GM Andrew Berry · Oklahoma

2022

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2021, the model gave a defensive end at #223 a 9.1% chance in 2022.

Defensive end at #223, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 21.2% · 2027 model: 6.4%

Surrounding picks · 2022 draft

#218TEKo KieftTB — GM Jason Licht
#219LBChance CampbellTEN — GM Jon Robinson
#220DTKalia DavisSF — GM John Lynch
#221CBTariq Castro-FieldsSF — GM John Lynch
#222CBMontaric BrownJAX — GM Trent Baalke
#224LBCameron GoodeMIA — GM Chris Grier
#225LBMark RobinsonPIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#226OGJa'Tyre CarterCHI — GM Ryan Poles
#227TENick MuseMIN — GM Kwesi Adofo-Mensah
#228STariq CarpenterGB — GM Brian Gutekunst

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart