DE · pick 221 — first ever defensive end at #221 (1998)

DE·pick 221

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #221

Angel Rubio

Drafted by PIT — GM Tom Donahoe · SE Missouri St.

1998

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1997, the model gave a defensive end at #221 a 8.5% chance in 1998.

Defensive end at #221, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 21.0% · 2027 model: 6.4%

Surrounding picks · 1998 draft

#216CBEric WarfieldKC — GM Carl Peterson
#217OTChad OverhauserCHI — GM Mark Hatley
#218RBEddie WatsonGB — GM Ron Wolf
#219LBNate WayneDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#220DTChris AkinsPHI — GM Tom Modrak
#222TEDamian VaughnCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#223RBTarik SmithDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#224RBErnest BlackwellKC — GM Carl Peterson
#225CBTony DardenMIN — GM Frank Gilliam
#226SPat TillmanARI — GM Bob Ferguson

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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