DE · pick 220 — first ever defensive end at #220 (2002)

DE·pick 220

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #220

Josh Mallard

Drafted by IND — GM Bill Polian · Georgia

2002

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2001, the model gave a defensive end at #220 a 9.6% chance in 2002.

Defensive end at #220, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 20.8% · 2027 model: 6.4%

Surrounding picks · 2002 draft

#215OGMike PucilloBUF — GM Tom Donahoe
#216QBSeth BurfordLAC — GM John Butler
#217WRMichael ColemanATL — GM Harold Richardson
#218OTChad BeasleyMIN — GM Mike Tice / Brzezinski
#219DEJoey EvansCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#221LBMaurice RodriguezKC — GM Carl Peterson
#222WRKendall NewsonJAX — GM Tom Coughlin
#223TEMike BanksARI — GM Bob Ferguson
#224DEDerrius MonroeNO — GM Mickey Loomis
#225WRDarrell HillTEN — GM Floyd Reese

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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